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orthonormal comments on Does My Vote Matter? - Less Wrong Discussion

19 Post author: orthonormal 05 November 2012 01:23AM

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Comment author: orthonormal 05 November 2012 04:31:17AM *  0 points [-]

That's a good point; however, there could be some elections in which the balance of opinion is different between TDT thinkers and others. (In which case, of course, they would optimize in order to have the same aggregate effect as otherwise, while allowing some TDT agents to forgo voting.)

Comment author: RichardKennaway 05 November 2012 02:30:50PM 1 point [-]

there could be some elections in which the balance of opinion is different between TDT thinkers and others

Before the vote, how do they know, with enough accuracy for anything but a 100% turn-out to work? Polls? But by the same argument, what TDT-ers will take the time to respond to a poll?

Comment author: wedrifid 05 November 2012 07:11:09AM 0 points [-]

That's a good point; however, there could be some elections in which the balance of opinion is different between TDT thinkers and others. (In which case, of course, they would optimize in order to have the same aggregate effect as otherwise, while allowing some TDT agents to forgo voting.)

Exactly. And in the extreme case only one person would attend the poll booth (from the team that were going to win anyway) and everyone else would stay home.

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