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CharlieSheen comments on Does My Vote Matter? - Less Wrong Discussion

19 Post author: orthonormal 05 November 2012 01:23AM

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Comment author: CharlieSheen 05 November 2012 08:58:19PM *  0 points [-]

nonpartisan analysis

Please vote for Mitt Romney if and only if you throw a fair die and it comes up greater than 2.

Was that a partisan appeal or not? Be consequentalist about policy analysis, I dare you.

Comment author: ChristianKl 08 November 2012 10:11:47PM 0 points [-]

If you actually want to vote Romney you will roll the fair die and have a 2/3 chance of voting Romney. If you don't want to vote Romney you don't roll the fair die in the first place and therefore it doesn't come up greater than 2.

Comment author: TorqueDrifter 08 November 2012 10:55:56PM -1 points [-]

Strictly speaking, if you wanted to vote for Romney, you could roll as many fair dice as you like until one comes up greater than 2, leaving a ~1 chance of voting for whoever you intended in the first place.

Comment author: ChristianKl 08 November 2012 10:59:44PM -2 points [-]

It depends a bit on how you parse the sentence. If you roll 5 times you didn't role a dice but five dice.