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MixedNuts comments on XKCD - Frequentist vs. Bayesians - Less Wrong Discussion
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Given the statement of the problem, this null hypothesis is not at all probabilistic - we know it's false using deduction! This is an awful strange thing for a hypothesis to be in a problem that's supposed to be about probabilities.
"The machine has malfunctioned."
Why, I deny that, for the machine worked precisely as XKCD said it did.