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TheOtherDave comments on Open Thread, December 1-15, 2012 - Less Wrong Discussion
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I'm 59. It didn't seem to me as though things changed very much until the 90's. Microwaves and transistor radios are very nice, but not the same sort of qualitative jump as getting on line.
And now we're in a era where it's routine to learn about extrasolar planets-- admittedly not as practical as access to the web, but still amazing.
I'm not sure whether we're careening towards a singularity, though I admit that self-driving cars are showing up much earlier than I expected.
Did anyone else expect that self-driving cars would be so much easier than natural language?
I have always expected computers that were as able to navigate a car to a typical real-world destination as an average human driver to be easier to build than computers that were as able to manage a typical real-world conversation as an average human native speaker.
That said, there's a huge range of goalposts in the realm of "natural language", some of which I expected to be a lot easier than they seem to be.