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aelephant comments on Generalizing from One Trend - Less Wrong Discussion

14 Post author: katydee 18 January 2013 01:21AM

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Comment author: aelephant 18 January 2013 10:35:50AM 3 points [-]

Accept that randomness is a fact of life & that prediction is basically impossible in any kind of complex system. Make sure that your position is either resilient to big negative unpredictable events or better yet, antifragile. (Yes I've been reading a lot of Nassim Taleb recently.)