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NancyLebovitz comments on Most Likely Cause of an Apocalypse on December 21 - Less Wrong Discussion
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I don't think there will be significant amounts of insanity. There might be a few suicides, but no public hazard.
My 1 minus epsilon prediction is that there will be gloating skeptics on 12/22.
What's your 50% prediction about the number of gloating skeptics?