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James_Miller comments on What information has surprised you most recently? - Less Wrong Discussion
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I have been miscalibrating how much people at my workplace like or dislike me. I've gotten it wrong in both directions recently.
How did you realize?
On the plus side a very kind email and invitations to get coffee, on the negative side something I would rather not get into but it wasn't subtle and provides evidence for this.
Here you'll find all the evidence for Sayre's law that you want.