tgb comments on What information has surprised you most recently? - Less Wrong Discussion
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Why does being surprised imply being miscalibrated? I should be surprised that a 100-sided dice rolled a 100 even if it genuinely is fair. If I weren't surprised by that event, I would say that I was miscalibrated. Of course this means that I should expect to be surprised every now and then, but what's wrong with that?
Why should 100 be any more surprising than any other number?