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CarlShulman comments on UFAI cannot be the Great Filter - Less Wrong Discussion
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On a log plot, the difference between the number of stars in the Solar System and the number of stars in the Milky Way is smaller than the difference between the number of stars in the Milky Way and the number of stars that we can reach before the expansion of the universe removes them from our grasp. How much probability mass would you place on alien civilizations within reachable space? Within our galaxy?