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OrphanWilde comments on How to Teach Students to Not Guess the Teacher’s Password? - Less Wrong Discussion
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When individual students were called upon, which group was more likely to hazard a guess, to try to reason through an answer?
Are you asking whether the first graders were more likely to guess than the third graders? I don't know, it's a long time ago and I haven't consciously monitored the guessing frequency. But guessing was the obvious choice when someone didn't know the answer, as it was always better than simply saying "I don't know".