Vaniver comments on [Discussion] The Kelly criterion and consequences for decision making under uncertainty - Less Wrong Discussion
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A bet where you quadruple your investment has a b of 3, and p is .5. The Kelly criterion says you should bet (b*p-q)/b, which is (3*.5-.5)/3, which is one third of your bankroll every time. The expected value after n times is (4/3)^n.
The assumption of the Kelly criterion is that you get to decide the scale of your investment, and that the investment scales with your bankroll.
Indeed, but the probability that the Kelly better does better than that better is 1-2^(-n)!