MugaSofer comments on DRAFT:Ethical Zombies - A Post On Reality-Fluid - Less Wrong Discussion
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (116)
So ... you don't know what the odds are, but you know how to act anyway? I notice that I am confused.
Assuming that there is only one godlike agent known or predicted in the environment, that Omega is a known feature of the environment, and that you have no reason to believe that e.g. you are hallucinating, then presumably all Omega needs to do is demonstrate his godlike powers - by predicting your every action ahead of time, say, or turning the sky green with purple spots.
In an anthropic situation, I don't think it makes sense to assign odds to statements like "I will see X" because the meaning of the term "I" becomes unclear. (For example, I don't think it makes sense for Sleeping Beauty to assign odds to statements like "I will see heads.") I can still assign odds to statements like "exactly fifteen copies of me will see X" by reasoning about what I currently expect my copies to see, given what I know about how I'll be copied, and using those odds I can still make decisions.
Omega needs to both always tell the truth and have access to godlike power. How does Omega prove to me that it always tells the truth?