DataPacRat comments on How confident are you in the Atomic Theory of Matter? - Less Wrong Discussion
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Mainly, because estimating the accuracy of a math statement brings in various philosophical details about the nature of math and numbers, which would likely distract from the focus on theories relating to the nature of our universe. So I went for the most foundational physical theory I could think of... and phrased it rather poorly.
If you have a suggestion on how to un-vague-ify my main post, I'd be happy to read it.
Except it doesn't -- whether or not we can know those philosophical details are conditional on the accuracy of human hardware, which as far as I can tell is what you want people to estimate.