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army1987 comments on How confident are you in the Atomic Theory of Matter? - Less Wrong Discussion
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At least +40 dB. “Next Thursday I will not meet a funeral procession on my way home from the bus stop” is somewhere between +35 dB and +40 dB (given that such a thing has happened to me exactly once that I remember of), and I'm more confident that ordinary matter is made of atoms than that.