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DataPacRat comments on Cryo and Social Obligations - Less Wrong Discussion

16 Post author: DataPacRat 27 January 2013 07:32AM

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Comment author: DataPacRat 27 January 2013 09:22:03PM 2 points [-]

Is this an accurate estimation?

Assuming that you count the subculture as being those people who have a membership with one of the cryo providers: Yep. Reference: http://www.cryonics.org/comparisons.html , as of a few months ago, Alcor has 975 members, and Cryonics Institute has 1033, including those who haven't made full cryo-preservation arrangements.

Please correct me if I mis-paraphrase.

Not at all - it's as accurate a breakdown as I could ask for.

I've noticed in your other posts a tendency to take an idea and run with it

(I'm noticeable! Yay! <ahem>)

That tendency likely stems from my background with SF and RPG world-building, where much of the fun comes from doing just that with any given premise.

a tendency that could over time waste a lot productive hours.

Depending on how you look at it, I've already wasted a lot of productive hours on just that - I have a pet SF setting I've put together specifically to try thinking up the consequences of a few premises about some minor technological advancements... and to try to find any contradictions in the ideas I end up coming up with. Fortunately, I seem to have a good deal of time compared to the number of ideas I come up with that have any significant potential... so as long as I do keep in mind that any particular idea I try following could end up being a dud, one way to think of the whole exercise is summarized by an entry from my quotefile:

"On the mountains of truth you can never climb in vain: either you will reach a point higher up today, or you will be training your powers so that you will be able to climb higher tomorrow. "

the conclusion does sound like a fun activity.

Any thoughts? :)

Comment author: Zaine 27 January 2013 09:51:36PM 2 points [-]

Those figures surprise me.

Any thoughts? :)

Aside from noting smiley faces seem to have the power to compel compliance, I will try to follow my own advice.

Comment author: DataPacRat 27 January 2013 10:03:55PM 2 points [-]

Those figures surprise me.

In which direction, and to what degree?

Comment author: Zaine 27 January 2013 10:28:15PM 0 points [-]

I thought them low, and was mildly surprised. Partly because the cryonics subculture is briefly mentioned in Neal Stephenson's Cryptonomicon and I assumed that the subculture has persisted since at least 1997 (when Stephenson was writing the novel), I concluded that two thousand was a low estimation - simply because a subculture that could not accrue more members is in my eyes a pitiable thing (evoking of pathos). Considering how long Cryonics has been possible, I had thought more than a couple thousand of people would have ever been cryo-preserved. Although I doubt those figures represent all cryo-preserved persons.

Taking my prior advice into account, that's a lot of assumptions, I know. I have not researched cryonics thoroughly, as I'd like to understand enough of the neuroscience to form my own opinion. With my current level of knowledge I have low confidence in cryonics; the degree to which extreme cold destroys brain matter (on a molecular level) is one issue.

Comment author: DataPacRat 27 January 2013 10:37:26PM 0 points [-]

I doubt those figures represent all cryo-preserved persons.

I seem to have described my numbers a bit off, so I'll try again to try to make sure the confusion is cleared up:

There are currently around 2,000 living people who are members of cryo organizations.

There are currently around 200 dead (or 'dead') people who have been cryo-preserved.

the degree to which extreme cold destroys brain matter (on a molecular level) is one issue.

I don't disagree with you about that. However, given the range of options currently available on the table, if I have a lethal heart attack this year... there don't seem to really be any other options I /can/ make arrangements for. It's possible that the damage you describe will, one day, eventually be able to be repaired; in which case, no worries. Or, it's possible the damage you describe will never be able to be repaired; in which case, in another sense, no worries.

(Part of my current consultations with my lawyer about my will, is to arrange for as much of my personal writing and similar data to be stored with me - and at least part of the reasoning for my doing that, is to provide another set of data about the way my brain functions in case it might help with future repair efforts. It's even more of a longshot than cryo itself, but since I'd like to have that data with me anyway if I'm revived, it doesn't seem to be a negative.)