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jkaufman comments on Cryo and Social Obligations - Less Wrong Discussion

16 Post author: DataPacRat 27 January 2013 07:32AM

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Comment author: jkaufman 28 January 2013 03:32:59AM *  2 points [-]

most of the objections people raise to cryonics seem to be off enough that, even if those objections were solved, those particular people still wouldn't sign up - that is, they feel some fundamental antipathy to the whole idea of cryonics, and unconsciously pick some rationalization that happens to sound reasonable to them to explain it.

I really would sign up for cryonics if I thought it was at all likely to work. Even at a 1 in 30 chance I'd take it. But there are so many ways for it to fail that I just don't think the odds are good at all.

Comment author: DataPacRat 29 January 2013 10:05:25AM 1 point [-]

Interestingly, my own estimation of a 1 in 20 chance puts me right about in the middle of your estimates. Given that I based my estimate primarily to be the median of the estimates I'd gathered at the time I made it, I'm still a little surprised that it's still that with your newer set of estimates.