jkaufman comments on Cryo and Social Obligations - Less Wrong Discussion
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I really would sign up for cryonics if I thought it was at all likely to work. Even at a 1 in 30 chance I'd take it. But there are so many ways for it to fail that I just don't think the odds are good at all.
Interestingly, my own estimation of a 1 in 20 chance puts me right about in the middle of your estimates. Given that I based my estimate primarily to be the median of the estimates I'd gathered at the time I made it, I'm still a little surprised that it's still that with your newer set of estimates.