Maybe it would help if you cited Nick Bostrom's differential technological development and Luke Muehlhauser and Anna Salamon's differential intellectual progress explained how your idea is related to them?
It seems like you're drawing the same conclusion as them but perhaps through a new argument, but it's confusing that you don't cite them. It's also unclear to me whether the division of changes into V1, V2, V3 in that post is a useful one. I think the classification you gave in a later post makes a lot more sense (aside from the missing "philosophical progress" which you've since added).
Over the last few months I've started blogging about effective altruism more broadly, rather than focusing on AI risk. I'm still focusing on abstract considerations and methodological issues, but I hope it is of interest to others here. Going forward I intend to cross-post more often to LW, but I thought I would post the backlog here anyway. With luck, I'll also have the opportunity to post more than bi-weekly.
I welcome thoughts, criticisms, etc.