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dhoe comments on AI prediction case study 2: Dreyfus's Artificial Alchemy - Less Wrong Discussion
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I read one of his books a long time ago, and the fact that he was basically saying that playing chess was fundamentally too difficult for a computer went a long way in convincing me that we overestimate the magic that happens inside human brains.
He's overconfident, as are most experts - "computers will never" is a stupid prediction. But his reasons why the computer chess-playing machines of the 60s wouldn't work were correct. The problem in 1965 was that people were underestimating the difficulty of what went on in the human brain.