drethelin comments on Personal Evidence - Superstitions as Rational Beliefs - Less Wrong Discussion
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my priors for "weird geographically located feelings and occurrences happen" is a lot higher (as it should be obviously but it's worth stating) than for any of the possible explanations put forward for it. I think EMF like reasons are the most plausible, though. Tricks on memory and feelings seem pretty plausible, eg you didn't actually lose the key except in your pocket, and then dropped it later than you thought you did.