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http://www.sas.com/govedu/edu/k12/evaas/papers.html
Quite a few things there. SAS's EVAAS is generally considered the gold standard of bayesian prediction models as educational interventions; unfortunately as SAS is based in North Carolina it has yet to spread outside that particular state. Some states have similar systems being produced by similar companies.
Particularly, if I were you I would read: http://www.sas.com/success/wf_rolesville.html