gjm comments on Why is it rational to invest in retirement? I don't get it. - Less Wrong Discussion
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According to Wolfram Alpha if you're a 30yo male in the US then your probability of reaching 65 is somewhere around 80%.
The other demographic details surely make some difference, but I wouldn't assume they're all favourable; for instance, being largely sedentary brings all kinds of problems.
[EDIT: I wrote 20% where I meant 80%. Thanks to wedrifid for catching my mistake!]
Shouldn't that be 80%? Either that or have a "not" in there someplace?
Oooops. Absolutely right, of course. Now fixed.