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gjm comments on Why is it rational to invest in retirement? I don't get it. - Less Wrong Discussion

20 Post author: diegocaleiro 16 May 2013 01:28AM

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Comment author: gjm 16 May 2013 11:26:10AM *  7 points [-]

According to Wolfram Alpha if you're a 30yo male in the US then your probability of reaching 65 is somewhere around 80%.

The other demographic details surely make some difference, but I wouldn't assume they're all favourable; for instance, being largely sedentary brings all kinds of problems.

[EDIT: I wrote 20% where I meant 80%. Thanks to wedrifid for catching my mistake!]

Comment author: wedrifid 16 May 2013 11:31:03AM 5 points [-]

According to Wolfram Alpha if you're a 30yo male in the US then your probability of reaching 65 is somewhere around 20%.

Shouldn't that be 80%? Either that or have a "not" in there someplace?

Comment author: gjm 16 May 2013 12:06:41PM 3 points [-]

Oooops. Absolutely right, of course. Now fixed.