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ChristianKl comments on Open thread, May 17-31 2013 - Less Wrong Discussion

2 [deleted] 17 May 2013 01:47PM

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Comment author: ChristianKl 23 May 2013 12:38:26PM 2 points [-]

Do they mean:

Who's they? You are reading a text written by Angelina Jolie for a general audience. She has to make certain that no woman reader who reads the story comes away with thinking that she also has a 87 percent risk.

I understand that not everyone is a Bayesian black-belt, but I am trying to figure out what implicity assumption motivates people to talk this way.

What does a Bayesian black-belt do, when the only numbers he has are come frequentist statistics that someone else did?