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falenas108 comments on Orwell and fictional evidence for dictatorship stability - Less Wrong Discussion

16 Post author: Stuart_Armstrong 24 May 2013 12:19PM

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Comment author: falenas108 26 May 2013 05:17:29PM 6 points [-]

Statistically, the political survival of a ruler (defined via the probability of being ousted in the next two-year period) in an autocracy is significantly higher than in a democracy. That is, an autocracy is statistically more stable than a democracy.

By ousted, do they mean a revolution? Or does that also include the normal election cycles?

Comment author: Vladimir_Golovin 27 May 2013 06:41:21AM 1 point [-]

They mean losing power, regardless of causes. This statistic is over all types of regimes, so it applies to both autocracies where there are no meaningful election cycles, and to democracies, where election cycles are meaningful by definition.

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