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kilobug comments on [LINK] Bets do not (necessarily) reveal beliefs - Less Wrong Discussion
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Reminds me of Stephen Hawking betting against the existence of the black holes because, if they do exist, he would be so proud of having participating in their discovery and study he wouldn't care about losing a bet, and if they don't, winning the bet would slightly comfort him of spending so many years of his life studying something that doesn't exist.
That was exactly the example I thought of.