You're looking at Less Wrong's discussion board. This includes all posts, including those that haven't been promoted to the front page yet. For more information, see About Less Wrong.

Eugine_Nier comments on [LINK] Bets do not (necessarily) reveal beliefs - Less Wrong Discussion

12 Post author: Cyan 27 May 2013 08:13PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (22)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: Eugine_Nier 01 June 2013 03:23:17AM 0 points [-]

Is there a fundamental difference between 1) a casino's "really high" probability of earning a profit (on bets before expenses), 2) real-world true arbitrage, and 3) positive expected return in the large?

Arbitrage is a radial category.