Kaj_Sotala comments on Open Thread, June 2-15, 2013 - Less Wrong Discussion
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You thought his username gave you over 13 bits of evidence?
Transsexualism seems way overrepresented in geeky circles: off the top of my head, I could think of seven MtF and two FtM transsexuals within my circle of acquaintances, and there might be a few that I'm forgetting. LW definitely matches the definition of a "geeky community", so assuming a relatively high base rate would have been reasonable to me, based on my experience.