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Skeeve comments on Normative uncertainty in Newcomb's problem - Less Wrong Discussion

6 Post author: CarlShulman 16 June 2013 02:16AM

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Comment author: Skeeve 17 June 2013 06:45:00PM 1 point [-]

I wouldn't one-box at 1:1.01 odds; the rule I was working off was: "Precommit to one-boxing when box B is stated to contain at least as much money as box A," and I was about to launch into this big justification on how even if Omega was observed to have 99+% accuracy, rather than being a perfect predictor, it'll fail at predicting a complicated theory before it fails at predicting a simple one...

...and that's when I realized that "Precommit to one-boxing when box B is stated to contain more money than box A," is just as simple a rule that lets me two-box at 1:1 and one-box when it will earn me more.

TL;DR - your point is well taken.