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Alexei comments on For FAI: Is "Molecular Nanotechnology" putting our best foot forward? - Less Wrong Discussion
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Likewise. I've always read Eliezer's original statement along the lines of "and then AI will invent a powerful new technology or will use existing technology in a new and highly effective way." There are a dozen of those, MNT is just one example. With so many options, the probability of achieving at least one of them is pretty high.