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gwern comments on Book: AKA Shakespeare (an extended Bayesian investigation) - Less Wrong Discussion

-1 Post author: matt 28 June 2013 04:34PM

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Comment author: gwern 28 June 2013 07:35:07PM 2 points [-]

Is the accuracy row for each confidence column telling us what fraction of predictions Gwern assigned a given confidence to have been right?

Yes, something like that. I forget the exact details of how it bins.

That's incredible!

Thank you. That's years of practice and some useful heuristics at work there.