You're looking at Less Wrong's discussion board. This includes all posts, including those that haven't been promoted to the front page yet. For more information, see About Less Wrong.

gwern comments on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 19, chapter 88-89 - Less Wrong Discussion

12 Post author: Vaniver 30 June 2013 01:22AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Article Navigation

Comments (957)
Tags: fanfiction harry_potter hpmor fiction

Comments (957)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: gwern 01 July 2013 05:03:58PM 2 points [-]

Predicted with what probability?

Comment author: JTHM 01 July 2013 08:07:29PM *  2 points [-]

80% probability that Hermione will make a horcrux; a mere 30% probability that everything will happen exactly as I specified above. It is a very specific prediction, after all.

...And a 90% probability that the plan will occur to Harry whether or not he pulls it off.

Powered by Reddit Powered by Reddit