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firstorderpredicate comments on What are you working on? July 2013 - Less Wrong Discussion

8 Post author: David_Gerard 02 July 2013 04:39PM

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Comment author: gothgirl420666 02 July 2013 06:37:00PM *  5 points [-]

It's the summer before my freshman year of college, and my only obligation is that my parents are paying me to clean our filthy house. So I have tons of free time that I am trying to put to the best use possible. Here's a list of what I am doing:

  • My goal in life is to be a video game developer, so my main priority is learning how to make video games. I'm not really sure which of several possible projects I'll end up spending most of my summer on, but right now I'm learning how to use Unity 3D.

  • I've been reading stuff in the broad category of "human nature". For example, on my bedside table right now, I have Self-Made Man, The Luck Factor, The Happiness Hypothesis, Queen Bees & Wannabes, and The Moral Animal. I started this project in order to hopefully reach an a-ha moment that would allow me to realize what I'm doing wrong and therefore cure my shitty social skills, but I think I've already reached this moment very early into the summer, so now the whole project seems slightly less useful and I might forgo it in order to spend more time learning gamedev. :\

  • Doing Starting Strength.

  • Learning how to lucid dream.

  • I wanted to spend a lot of time getting better at meditation with the goal of eventually reaching jhana, but I've lapsed really hard in my practice lately and I'm having a lot of trouble getting back into it. So I don't know what I'm going to do about this one.

I'm tracking how many pomodoros I've done of learning video game devlopment and reading about human nature here. My initial goal was to do five hundred in a fifty-two day period, but unfortunately it's looking like this might have been overly ambitious.

Comment author: firstorderpredicate 02 July 2013 08:53:52PM 2 points [-]

My initial goal was to do five hundred in a fifty-two day period, but unfortunately it's looking like this might have been overly ambitious.

"Awww, it sounds like someone fell prey to the planning fallacy." :)

Comment author: gothgirl420666 02 July 2013 09:44:26PM 0 points [-]

I don't really know if this counts as the planning fallacy. As I understand it, the planning fallacy is when you underestimate the time it takes to do a specific task. This was more like overestimating my energy and willpower, and therefore the amount of time I would be able to work in any given day.

Comment author: Qiaochu_Yuan 03 July 2013 01:32:40AM *  3 points [-]

For the purposes of diagnosing planning fallacy, time doesn't mean time spent, it means total time. Quote from the Wikipedia article:

In a 1994 study, 37 psychology students were asked to estimate how long it would take to finish their senior theses. The average estimate was 33.9 days.

That's not 33.9 days of continuous work. Underestimating how much time you have available per day to work on a project counts as planning fallacy.

Comment author: gothgirl420666 03 July 2013 01:52:11AM 0 points [-]

Fair enough.

Comment author: falenas108 03 July 2013 12:26:49AM *  -1 points [-]

My understanding is that the planning fallacy is just not taking the outside view, for whatever it is. Depending on your past experiences, you may or may not have fallen prey to it.

Note: Firstorderpredicate's response isn't as condescending as it sounds, it's a Methods of Rationality quote.

Comment author: firstorderpredicate 03 July 2013 01:25:34AM *  -2 points [-]

Note: Firstorderpredicate's response isn't as condescending as it sounds, it's a Methods of Rationality quote.

Yes. (Spoilers deleted; Awfully sorry)

Comment author: jaibot 03 July 2013 01:18:15PM 3 points [-]

Dude, spoilers.