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Qiaochu_Yuan comments on What are you working on? July 2013 - Less Wrong Discussion

8 Post author: David_Gerard 02 July 2013 04:39PM

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Comment author: Qiaochu_Yuan 03 July 2013 01:32:40AM *  3 points [-]

For the purposes of diagnosing planning fallacy, time doesn't mean time spent, it means total time. Quote from the Wikipedia article:

In a 1994 study, 37 psychology students were asked to estimate how long it would take to finish their senior theses. The average estimate was 33.9 days.

That's not 33.9 days of continuous work. Underestimating how much time you have available per day to work on a project counts as planning fallacy.

Comment author: gothgirl420666 03 July 2013 01:52:11AM 0 points [-]

Fair enough.

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