You're looking at Less Wrong's discussion board. This includes all posts, including those that haven't been promoted to the front page yet. For more information, see About Less Wrong.

moridinamael comments on Group Rationality Diary, July 1-15 - Less Wrong Discussion

4 Post author: therufs 03 July 2013 01:44AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (35)

You are viewing a single comment's thread.

Comment author: moridinamael 06 July 2013 09:42:34PM 6 points [-]

A friend of mine was flying into SFO this weekend to visit me. We carefully worked out the plan for how I would meet and pick him up, carefully factoring in the possibility that the BART strike would continue and transit would be restricted. We congratulated ourselves for establishing a totally watertight plan.

Of course, a different plane crashed on the SFO runway about an hour ago, so all incoming flights are being redirected to distant airports. Learned a valuable lesson - my predictions for worst-case scenarios are nowhere near pessimistic enough.