You're looking at Less Wrong's discussion board. This includes all posts, including those that haven't been promoted to the front page yet. For more information, see About Less Wrong.

gjm comments on [LINK] XKCD Comic #1236, Seashells and Bayes' Theorem - Less Wrong Discussion

-7 Post author: Petruchio 10 July 2013 11:05AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (32)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: gjm 10 July 2013 04:57:57PM 2 points [-]

Either he's fixed it since the two of you wrote what you wrote, or you're wrong, or I'm terribly confused. It now says (with obvious abbreviations)

P(A|B) = P(B|A)P(A)/P(B)

which is correct.

Comment author: wedrifid 10 July 2013 05:07:45PM *  2 points [-]

Either he's fixed it since the two of you wrote what you wrote, or you're wrong, or I'm terribly confused.

Make that all four of us are wrong. Yes, it seems that the cartoon has been fixed. I quadruple checked the positions of those clauses when I was verifying nshepperd's claim, since it was surprising. I also observed at the time that it is fortunate that the image would be easy to fix even with my meagre gimp skills. Or MSPaint from windows 95 for that matter.

EDIT: The xkcd forum confirms our sanity and shows the original.

Comment author: gjm 10 July 2013 06:11:55PM 0 points [-]

The image in the forum shows the fixed version, at least for me right now. (Maybe it will for you too, if you clear your browser cache? Or maybe there's a copy of the old version elsewhere in the discussion.)

I think he should have put a note on the comic page acknowledging that he'd fixed a mistake.

Comment author: tim 10 July 2013 09:36:36PM 2 points [-]

The old version is there if you scroll down.

Comment author: thomblake 10 July 2013 06:44:57PM 2 points [-]

He fixes things a lot. There is practically never a notice.