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BlindIdiotPoster comments on Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality discussion thread, part 24, chapter 95 - Less Wrong Discussion
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The probability of Harry living in a story is already 1.
1-epsilon: Perhaps Harry winds up simulating this world and beaming the ideas for HPMoR to Eliezer to see how people react, or perhaps Eliezer is really Harry James Potter Evans Verres with polyjuice and lots of memory charms, or some other highly unlikely possibility that could make it less than 1.
All of which is to say that the probability that Harry is living in a story is ~1, given the evidence available to us.
I was assuming the -elipson part just went without saying. Of course you're right.
I don't understand how that's a reply to my comment.
By far the most likely explanation for this passage is the Quirrel is describing the ritual to summon a dementor, and Harry rediscovers the counterspell. So the hinted-at event has already happened.
That wouldn't be a hinted-at event, since that passage occurs way after the Patronus chapters. It would be... aftershadowing?
At first I wrote "foreshadowing," but I was too lazy to look up the order in which things happened, so I substituted what I thought was a word safely agnostic to timing.
My comment was a reply to the comment above yours, sorry.