= 27d567bc2d48d9f40e9ccc20ea370b15)
Mestroyer comments on Applied Bayes' Theorem: Calculating the probability that she's over me. Could somebody check my work? TT_TT - Less Wrong Discussion
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
= 783df68a0f980790206b9ea87794c5b6)
Loading…= b715d02e85f7b3b4ae65ca3d3e450868)
Subscribe to RSS Feed
= f037147d6e6c911a85753b9abdedda8d){kind=logo}
Comments (23)
Oh, I didn't know you broke up.
You explicitly broke up, and your prior for "she's over you" is only 30%?
Also, if she was breaking up, but maybe changing her mind, a 90% chance of answering your call seems too high, but I have no experience with these matters.
Ah. Sorry I didn't make that clear.
Yeah, that particular prior is low at least partly because of my wishful thinking.
Not that it seems to have helped. =/