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Qiaochu_Yuan comments on Business Insider: "They Finally Tested The 'Prisoner's Dilemma' On Actual Prisoners — And The Results Were Not What You Would Expect" - Less Wrong Discussion

2 Post author: chaosmage 24 July 2013 12:44PM

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Comment author: Qiaochu_Yuan 24 July 2013 08:35:23PM *  5 points [-]

Before reading this article, and based only on its title, I predicted (on PredictionBook, with confidence 80%) that the result would be that prisoners cooperated "surprisingly" often, based both on the phrase "not what you would expect" and based on vague general things I guessed about prison culture. Thanks for the calibration exercise!

The calibration exercise aside, I don't think this is particularly relevant to PD discussions on LessWrong, which I thought were more about "true" PDs (e.g. us vs. aliens, us vs. a paperclip maximizer). The incentives in a PD between humans are not easily deducible from the setup of the experiment alone.