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NotInventedHere comments on Open thread, July 29-August 4, 2013 - Less Wrong Discussion

3 Post author: David_Gerard 29 July 2013 10:26PM

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Comment author: peter_hurford 30 July 2013 08:13:20PM 7 points [-]

In the past, people like Eliezer Yudkowsky and, I think, Luke Meulhauser have argued that MIRI has a medium probability of success. What is this probability estimate based on and how is success defined? I've read standard MIRI literature (like "Evidence and Import" and "Five Theses"), but I may have missed something.

Comment author: NotInventedHere 01 August 2013 12:02:20PM 1 point [-]

Do you have a permalink to any of those instances? It would be helpful to know what they defined medium as.

Comment author: peter_hurford 01 August 2013 01:25:30PM 4 points [-]

see 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5.