And while I feel like venting this morning, I've also had enough of these "immortality in 30 years" predictions. I give some reasons for that in my review of Cosmic Trigger:

http://www.scribd.com/doc/160354250/That-70-s-Transhumanism-A-Review-of-Cosmic-Trigger-Final-Secret-of-the-Illuminati

The emerging apocalyptic cult created by Ray Kurzweil, Dmitry Itskov and others wants to reschedule the "immortality" date from the 2000-2012 years predicted in the 1970's to 2045. This shows that transhumanists just don't want to learn from their predecessors' follies. Just add another 30 years every generation, and never admit that the older transhumanists got the previous dates wrong.

I wonder what Ray's fans will say when he dies on schedule like everyone else. I looked up the actuarial tables and performed a calculation with the help of a spreadsheet. An American man Ray's current age (65) has a probability of 22 out of 100 of dying in the next 10 years. Think of that as one trigger pull of Russian Roulette with a 5 chambered revolver.