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TRManderson comments on Yet more "stupid" questions - Less Wrong Discussion

7 Post author: NancyLebovitz 28 August 2013 03:58PM

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Comment author: TRManderson 30 August 2013 10:05:27AM *  0 points [-]

Thanks. Just going to clarify my thoughts below.

Because doing so will lead to worse outcomes on average.

In specific instances, avoiding the negative outcome might be beneficial, but only for that instance. If you're constantly settling for less-than-optimal outcomes because they're less risky, it'll average out to less-than-optimal utility.

The terminology "non-linear valuation" seemed to me to imply some exponential valuation, or logarithmic or something; I think "subjective valuation" or "subjective utility" might be better here.

Comment author: somervta 31 August 2013 03:32:30AM *  0 points [-]

Yes, non-linear valuation means that your subjective value for X does not increase linearly with linear increases in X. It might increase logarithmically, or exponentially, or polynomially (with degree > 1), or whatever.

Comment author: Ishaan 26 November 2013 08:14:38AM *  -1 points [-]

You just incorporate that straight into the utility function.

You have $100 to your name. Start with 100 utility.

Hey! Betcha $50 this coin comes up heads!

$150 and therefore 110 utility if you win.

$50 and therefore 60 utility if you lose.

So you don't take the bet. It's a fair bet dollar wise, but an unfair bet utility wise.