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timtyler comments on I know when the Singularity will occur - Less Wrong Discussion
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I checked with Google trends. It seems as though they may yet face some competition. Also, 15 years of real time is quite a bit of internet time. Previously it looked as though Microsoft had won - and IBM had won.
Tim, you don't seriously think that Facebook is more likely to build an AI because more people google for Facebook than for Google, do you? I think that's what you just said.
It looked like Microsoft had won the OS market (which it still mostly has). It looked like IBM had won the PC market. Before that, it looked like Apple had won the PC market. Before that, it looked like IBM had won the minicomputer market.
But at no time did any of those companies act like their goal was to develop artificial intelligence. They didn't even build out the hardware infrastructure, let alone develop expertise in AI and collect all the relevant data. Nor did any of them ever have executives capable of the same level of vision as Larry & Sergei. Nor, I think, did they ever have profitability approaching Google's. Not a single one of the many points I listed applied to any of those companies at any time.
Facebook has the potential to get a ton of revenue if they aren't already. Millions of people use the site and spend a decent amount of time there, which gives them tons of ads. And they are currently recruiting the best machine learning experts through Kaggle competitions.
IBM is currently working on Watson which is the most impressive AI that I know of. They also built Deep Blue.