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Manfred comments on Bayesian probability as an approximate theory of uncertainty? - Less Wrong Discussion
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I see. For any math problem where I can figure out the right answer, I can write a function that receives the phase of the moon as argument and returns the right answer. Okay, I guess you're right, I do want the function to look like expected utility maximization based on the supplied probabilities, rather than some random formula.
Hardly random - it makes perfect sense that the ratio of probabilities is equal to the parameter of the strategy, and so any maximization of the parameter can be rewritten as a maximization of the ratio of probabilities.