Here's a twist on prospect theory.
I installed solar panels, which were pretty expensive, but pay back as they generate electricity.
The common question was "How long will it take to earn your investment back?" I understand why they're asking. The investment is illiquid, even more than a long-term bank deposit. But if wanted to get my money "back," I'd keep it in my checking account. The question comes from a tendency to privilege a bird in the hand over those that are still in the bush.
The important point they should ask about is my probability-adjusted return on investment.
If the panels have a total breakdown before I get my investment back, that's bad, but it's just a negative RoI, no worse than losing money to inflation or to a down stock market.
If I get my money back, and then the panels break down right away, I won't say "at least I got my money back," I'll say "I wish my RoI had been greater." If I get my investment back, but it takes far longer than I expected, I won't say "at least I got it back." I'd say "too bad that my annualized RoI is near zero; at least it's not negative."
And if my RoI is super-duper, and I get my money back quick, I won't say "hurrah, I got my money back," I'll say "hurrah, I'm getting better RoI than any other investment I can make today," which is actually what I'll say even before I get my investment back. And then I'll keep smiling so long as the panels keep laying the golden eggs.
The important point they should ask about is my probability-adjusted return on investment.
Correct.
If you want to be even more correct :-) you should estimate your IRR (internal rate of return) and compare it with your opportunity costs for the money invested.
If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post (even in Discussion), then it goes here.