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ChristianKl comments on Should effective altruists care about the US gov't shutdown and can we do anything? - Less Wrong Discussion

-2 Post author: Ishaan 01 October 2013 08:24PM

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Comment author: ChristianKl 01 October 2013 09:30:48PM 1 point [-]

I dunno, I think the interrupting of scientific experiments all across the US is pretty disastrous, in terms of long term effects. The positive downstream effects of scientific research should not be underestimated, and a large scale disruption of that seems bad.

It's not like scientists sit around and do nothing when they don't get funds. The might not be able to buy fancy new toys but they can still use their brains. Not having to waste as much time with writting grants is also a plus. They might even start thinking about applications of their knowledge to make money by solving real world problems.

It reminds me of Bruce Sterlings book Distraction.

Comment author: Ishaan 01 October 2013 09:39:39PM 2 points [-]

Sure. Those who can pick up where they left off are not going to even notice that this happening.

But there are a lot of projects that are very time sensitive, which have already had a lot of money and labor invested into them. These which might be significantly delayed or even cancelled, resulting in a loss of invested resources.

Comment author: Douglas_Knight 01 October 2013 11:06:06PM 1 point [-]

Could you give an example of such a project? I doubt that any projects will be canceled because of the shutdown.

Comment author: Ishaan 01 October 2013 11:17:27PM *  6 points [-]

From the linked article:

if the NSF misses one or two weekly payments to the National Radio Astronomy Observatory in Charlottesville, Virginia, the facility would be forced to close, disrupting long-term research, says facility director Tony Beasley.

also

At NASA, one casualty could be the Mars Atmosphere and Volatile Evolution (MAVEN) mission, which until 1 October was being prepared at Cape Canaveral in Florida for an 18 November launch. MAVEN’s principal investigator, Bruce Jakosky of the University of Colorado Boulder, says that his team can accommodate a brief work stoppage. But if MAVEN, which will study the Martian atmosphere, misses its three-week launch window, it will be delayed until 2016,

(A 3 year wait for something that was going to launch next month probably means wasted resources. There's also a chance that it becomes a sunk cost as better tech. comes by.)

the FDA has put 45% of its staff on leave and will cut back on food-safety programmes

Given the number of programs being effected, I think it's really unlikely that no projects will be shut down anywhere because of this.

Comment author: NancyLebovitz 02 October 2013 07:28:33AM 1 point [-]

I'm more worried about biology experiments-- some of them need constant maintenance. Do you know whether the folks who are feeding the animals and such are still doing so?

Comment author: [deleted] 02 October 2013 02:12:21PM 2 points [-]

I did hear about this. Yes, those people were generally considered essential, so they get to work. Article link that mentions this:

http://www.npr.org/blogs/thetwo-way/2013/10/01/228208246/the-shutdown-s-squeeze-on-science-and-health

Comment author: NancyLebovitz 04 October 2013 09:54:50PM 1 point [-]

I just heard a radio report which said that animals are being taken care of, but the results of experiments aren't being collected.

Comment author: [deleted] 02 October 2013 01:19:04AM 0 points [-]

It's not like scientists sit around and do nothing when they don't get funds. The might not be able to buy fancy new toys but they can still use their brains.

Sure they can; but how many of them will be willing to?

Comment author: ChristianKl 02 October 2013 12:35:06PM 0 points [-]

What do you think they are going to do? Spend their time learning cooking and taking long naps?

Comment author: [deleted] 02 October 2013 12:49:32PM 2 points [-]

Don't think about the first scientist you can think of, think about the marginal scientist.

Comment author: ChristianKl 02 October 2013 01:26:59PM 0 points [-]

I think you underrate the value of unsheduled time when it comes to coming up with new creative ideas.

Comment author: [deleted] 02 October 2013 01:33:22PM *  3 points [-]

I don't -- for the typical scientist. But there are a few marginal scientists out there who are torn between keeping on doing research and quitting science to take up (say) surfing, and will pick the latter but would pick the former if counterfactually the NSF were still processing grants.

Comment author: Eugine_Nier 04 October 2013 03:05:33AM 3 points [-]

Yes, but how much would they have contributed to science had they not quit science?

Comment author: [deleted] 02 October 2013 01:56:46PM *  0 points [-]

It's not like scientists sit around and do nothing when they don't get funds. The might not be able to buy fancy new toys but they can still use their brains.

Actually, no. A federally-employed scientist can't "still use their brains" during a shutdown; see the Antideficiency Act.

Not having to waste as much time with writting [sic] grants is also a plus.

See above. Grants have to be written eventually; not being able to work part of the year just makes the proportion of working time that has to be devoted to writing grants larger.

Comment author: JoshuaZ 02 October 2013 03:34:42PM 0 points [-]

A federally-employed scientist can't "still use their brains" during a shutdown; see the Antideficiency Act.

Huh? How does this stop them from using their brains? Nothing there is going to stop them from continuing to think about their work, mentally desigining new experiments or new hypotheses.

Comment author: [deleted] 02 October 2013 03:58:39PM 1 point [-]

How does this stop them from using their brains?

Admittedly no one's ever been charged under the ADA, but there are plenty of examples of people being disciplined for violating it. I've been temporarily laid-off before -- they're not joking about not being allowed to work. At all.

Nothing there is going to stop them from continuing to think about their work, mentally desigining new experiments or new hypotheses.

Even granting that our hypothetical scientist is willing to take the risk of being admonished for working during shutdown -- what exactly are they going to do without institutional support? No journal access, no computing resources, no facilities? Navel gazing only gets one so far.

Comment author: SilasBarta 03 October 2013 09:28:36PM 2 points [-]

Admittedly no one's ever been charged under the ADA, but there are plenty of examples of people being disciplined for violating it.

Thinking about your experiments does not (in itself) involve expenditure of government money, so I don't see how they would prosecute you under the ADA for that. Yes, managers have to be very clear to workers not to use resources, just to keep them away from edge cases, but even with that level of overcaution, managers can't actually stop you.

Even if you came back and (for some reason) said, "Hey boss, I totally thought about this experiment from the couch when the shutdown was going on", they still don't have grounds unless you were using up resources. Now, they could fire you just for the defiance (maybe), but if they're that trigger-happy in the first place, then ...

Comment author: JQuinton 07 October 2013 02:51:39PM -1 points [-]

How effective is the thinking that can be done if you don't have access to any of your work? I'm a gov't employee and am affected by the shutdown. All of my work is on my office computer, which I'm not allowed to even turn on during the shutdown. Yes, it's illegal for me to turn on my work computer or access work email during the shutdown.

Sure, I can think all day about how to solve the current bug in my software, but without access to the actual code on my gov't computer not much can be done.

Comment author: Luke_A_Somers 07 October 2013 04:14:06PM 0 points [-]

I worked out an algorithm on paper while I was on vacation once. Once I was back, I implemented it quickly.

Comment author: JoshuaZ 02 October 2013 04:53:39PM 2 points [-]

Even granting that our hypothetical scientist is willing to take the risk of being admonished for working during shutdown

This doesn't seem to be that severe a grant. People go into science because they like it, not because it pays well.- for many, thoughts fields about one's subject can border on the intrusive. And as long as they come back and don't say explicitly that their new ideas were from when they were on leave, they'll be fine.

what exactly are they going to do without institutional support? No journal access, no computing resources, no facilities? Navel gazing only gets one so far.

So, they can read papers they already have. They can get journal access from friends at universities. They can do computing that doesn't involve as large a scale. They can think about data they got that doesn't seem to make sense. I agree there are limits but those limits seem not that restrictive as long as the shutdown doesn't last for that long.