So, a lot of people here have been saying that my notion that there is a high probability that this entire thing has had lots of very negative effects (taking into account the exponential returns on research) are hyperbolic and silly.

And those of us who get yearly infusions of money and get the infusion in the fall are doing particularly badly.

When I read this, I feel like I was right about the negative impact, even if I was wrong about the possibility of effecting the outcome. (My notion was that perhaps labs which were in keen need of small funds to tide them over could be supplemented, perhaps with pay-back-if-you-can loans)

I would really like to avoid feeling that I was right if I wasn't actually right, so can I ask after your estimate of how much difficulty these people are in and what the rough ratio of effected / not effected is among those who you observe?