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dspeyer comments on Crush Your Uncertainty - Less Wrong Discussion

16 [deleted] 03 October 2013 05:48AM

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Comment author: dspeyer 02 October 2013 04:24:07PM 2 points [-]

For important decisions, yes.

For the majority of matters over which I am uncertain, the costs of gathering more data exceed the utility to be gained by making the right choice.

Comment author: RomeoStevens 02 October 2013 06:20:00PM 2 points [-]

Sometimes intuitive cost-benefit analyses in this area fail badly due to a variety of biases.

Comment author: [deleted] 02 October 2013 07:32:28PM 1 point [-]

Right. First of all, the cases I'm dealing with that prompted this (high speed iterative R&D and debugging) may be different from most circumstances.

Second, I assert that even when the utility to be gained directly by better informed decisions is low, it is still a good idea to gather more data because of out-of-decision concerns like giving yourself more contact with reality, and having simpler models/memories for future selves to remember and build on.