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bokov comments on US default as a risk to mitigate - Less Wrong Discussion

2 Post author: bokov 15 October 2013 04:41PM

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Tags: instrumental-rationality risks economics

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Comment author: bokov 16 October 2013 10:56:30PM 2 points [-]

Aha, finally found a replacement for InTrade for calibrating predictions of US economic/political events.

https://www.ipredict.co.nz/app.php?do=browse&cat=1112

Comment author: gwern 16 October 2013 11:08:10PM 1 point [-]

I poked around that site previously, but it didn't seem to say anywhere whether US citizens were allowed to bet on it. Do you know?

Comment author: bokov 16 October 2013 11:17:45PM 0 points [-]

Haven't tried signing up yet.

I never bet on Intrade anyway. I just looked there now and then to see how people who are more confident then me were betting.

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