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Eugine_Nier comments on [Link] Low-Hanging Poop - Less Wrong Discussion
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I don't think treating human behavior as a simple random variable is a good model. See here for a better model.
If you have a point to make, I think it can be made more effectively than "Read this article".
I can identify behaviors that please me more than others, creating an ordinal structure on the set on the set of possible behaviors. I can also observe a frequency distribution of those behaviors. From the frequency distribution and the ordinal structure, I can identify a median. From there, it's not too difficult to identify reasonable assumptions such that the frequency of a bad behavior being followed by a worse behavior is less than the frequency of a bad behavior being followed by a better behavior, where "bad behavior" is "behavior that is worse than the median".
But Eugine made a point and his point was:
He then backed up his point to give context to suggest what a better model might be, i.e. one that models a human as a temporal process with habits.