You're looking at Less Wrong's discussion board. This includes all posts, including those that haven't been promoted to the front page yet. For more information, see About Less Wrong.

Lumifer comments on Open Thread, October 27 - 31, 2013 - Less Wrong Discussion

2 Post author: mare-of-night 28 October 2013 12:59AM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (382)

You are viewing a single comment's thread. Show more comments above.

Comment author: Lumifer 29 October 2013 12:23:44AM *  4 points [-]

What probability should I assign to being completely wrong and brainwashed by Lesswrong?

Wrong about what? Different subjects call for different probability.

The probability that the Bayes Theorem is wrong is vanishingly small. The probability that the UFAI risk is completely overblown is considerably higher.

LW "ideology" is an agglomeration in the sense that accepting (or not) a part of it does not imply acceptance (or rejection) of other parts. One can be a good Bayesian, not care about UFAI, and be signed up for cryonics -- no logical inconsistencies here.