You're looking at Less Wrong's discussion board. This includes all posts, including those that haven't been promoted to the front page yet. For more information, see About Less Wrong.

ThrustVectoring comments on The Inefficiency of Theoretical Discovery - Less Wrong Discussion

19 Post author: lukeprog 03 November 2013 09:26PM

You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.

Comments (109)

You are viewing a single comment's thread.

Comment author: ThrustVectoring 05 November 2013 06:14:06PM 0 points [-]

Normative uncertainty does not seem particularly interesting. You can just use set multiplication over probable futures and evaluations of them, and wind up with a regular problem with certain evaluations. It even agrees with normal methods if you assume a single, certain evaluation.

Now, as a concept it's important - realizing that you might not know what you want is a tremendous source of uncertainty that is easy to overlook. I just don't think that any new concepts or mathematical tools are needed to tackle it.